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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Dalton Kincaid Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
  • In this contest, Dalton Kincaid is projected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 95th percentile among TEs with 6.2 targets.
  • The Texans safeties project as the 8th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bills to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 49.8 plays per game.
  • Dalton Kincaid's 63.1% Route Participation% this season signifies an impressive regression in his passing game utilization over last season's 74.1% mark.
  • Dalton Kincaid's 3.3 adjusted receptions per game this year conveys a noteworthy reduction in his receiving ability over last year's 4.6 figure.
  • Dalton Kincaid's 78.3% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a material regression in his pass-catching skills over last season's 81.6% figure.

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