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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

Dalton Kincaid Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-182/+139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -182.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: most in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast Dalton Kincaid to earn 5.2 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Dalton Kincaid has been a big part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 17.0% since the start of last season, which places him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.

The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Bills as the 11th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are projected by the model to call just 60.2 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

More Dalton Kincaid Player Props

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