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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Dalton Kincaid Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • This week, Dalton Kincaid is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 91st percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.8 targets.
  • The projections expect Dalton Kincaid to be a much bigger part of his team's pass attack in this contest (18.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (11.2% in games he has played).
  • The Buffalo Bills O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • Dalton Kincaid grades out as one of the top TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 4.4 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 92nd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 122.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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