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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Buffalo Bills vs Arizona Cardinals

Dalton Kincaid Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -141.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect Dalton Kincaid to accumulate 6.1 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 91st percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Dalton Kincaid has been a key part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 17.6% last year, which places him in the 89th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the league last year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

With an excellent 5.1 adjusted catches per game (94th percentile) last year, Dalton Kincaid stands among the best pass-game tight ends in the NFL.

With a fantastic 80.7% Adjusted Completion Rate (77th percentile) last year, Dalton Kincaid has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is suggested by the Bills being a huge 7-point favorite in this week's contest.

Our trusted projections expect the Bills as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 51.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

As far as a defense's impact on pace, at 28.35 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Bills to be the 7th-slowest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.

Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense last year: 3rd-fewest in the league.

More Dalton Kincaid Player Props

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