Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Dalton Kincaid

NFL · Player Props

Dalton Kincaid

TE · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Analysis

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-107/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 46.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect Dalton Kincaid to notch 5.7 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile among TEs.
When it comes to air yards, Dalton Kincaid grades out in the lofty 96th percentile among tight ends this year, totaling a striking 44.0 per game.
Dalton Kincaid's 40.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 35.4.
Dalton Kincaid has compiled significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (50.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).
Dalton Kincaid's 6.04 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies a remarkable growth in his efficiency in space over last year's 0.0% figure.

Favors Under

A running game script is implied by the Bills being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Bills to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.9 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The 4th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Bills this year (a lowly 53.2 per game on average).
In regards to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Bills profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year.

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