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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week, Dalton Kincaid is predicted by the model to rank in the 89th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.5 targets.

Dalton Kincaid has compiled a staggering 41.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among tight ends.

Dalton Kincaid's 41.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 35.1.

Dalton Kincaid's talent in picking up extra yardage have been refined this season, averaging 7.73 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 4.32 rate last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Bills as the 6th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the predictive model to call just 61.4 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.

The Bills have run the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 51.2 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Dalton Kincaid's 33.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season indicates a material drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last season's 42.0 mark.

More Dalton Kincaid Player Props

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