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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
  • In this contest, Dalton Kincaid is projected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 95th percentile among TEs with 6.2 targets.
  • Dalton Kincaid's 7.31 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks an impressive growth in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 4.3% figure.
  • The Texans safeties project as the 8th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bills to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 49.8 plays per game.
  • Dalton Kincaid's 63.1% Route Participation% this season signifies an impressive regression in his passing game utilization over last season's 74.1% mark.
  • After totaling 36.0 air yards per game last season, Dalton Kincaid has posted significant losses this season, currently averaging 26.0 per game.
  • Dalton Kincaid's 33.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year indicates a meaningful drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last year's 42.0 rate.

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