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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (+100/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: most in the NFL.
  • The leading projections forecast Dalton Kincaid to earn 5.2 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Dalton Kincaid has been a big part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 17.0% since the start of last season, which places him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.
  • When talking about air yards, Dalton Kincaid grades out in the towering 87th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, accumulating a whopping 34.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Bills as the 11th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are projected by the model to call just 60.2 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

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