My Account Log Out

reorder

Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-124/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

This week, Dalton Kincaid is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 91st percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.8 targets.

The projections expect Dalton Kincaid to be a much bigger part of his team's pass attack in this contest (18.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (11.2% in games he has played).

Dalton Kincaid has posted a whopping 107.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

The Buffalo Bills O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 122.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus TEs since the start of last season, giving up 7.02 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in the NFL.

More Dalton Kincaid Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™