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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Buffalo Bills vs Arizona Cardinals

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect Dalton Kincaid to accumulate 6.1 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 91st percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Dalton Kincaid has been a key part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 17.6% last year, which places him in the 89th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Dalton Kincaid has posted a monstrous 39.0 air yards per game last year: 89th percentile among TEs.

The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the league last year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Dalton Kincaid ranks as one of the top pass-catching tight ends last year, averaging an exceptional 48.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 90th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is suggested by the Bills being a huge 7-point favorite in this week's contest.

Our trusted projections expect the Bills as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 51.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

As far as a defense's impact on pace, at 28.35 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Bills to be the 7th-slowest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.

Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense last year: 3rd-fewest in the league.

More Dalton Kincaid Player Props

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