Dallas Goedert Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Dallas Goedert

NFL · Player Props

Dallas Goedert

TE · Philadelphia Eagles

Touchdowns

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 21, 2026 10:22 PM EST

Analysis

Dallas Goedert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+198/-430).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -430.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles may take to the air less in this game (and hand the ball off more) because they be rolling with backup QB Tanner McKee.
This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Eagles, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 134.9 total plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
With an exceptional 27.9% Red Zone Target Share (98th percentile) since the start of last season, Dallas Goedert ranks as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the NFL.
As it relates to air yards, Dallas Goedert grades out in the lofty 92nd percentile among tight ends this year, averaging a remarkable 38.0 per game.

Favors Under

Right now, the most run-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (53.6% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Philadelphia Eagles.
The 6th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (just 55.0 per game on average).
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game against the Cowboys defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Eagles profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
Dallas Goedert's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 78.1% to 73.0%.

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