Dallas Goedert Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Dallas Goedert

NFL · Player Props

Dallas Goedert

TE · Philadelphia Eagles

Touchdowns

Philadelphia Eagles vs Carolina Panthers · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 1:02 PM EST

Analysis

Dallas Goedert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+270/-292).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Philadelphia Eagles may rely on the pass game less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Tanner McKee.
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Eagles are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal approach.
The leading projections forecast the Eagles to call the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
Dallas Goedert has been a big part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 28.3% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 98th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-heavy team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 53.3% red zone run rate.
The Eagles have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
Dallas Goedert's 73.6% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a material regression in his receiving prowess over last year's 78.1% mark.
The Panthers pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61.8%) versus tight ends this year (61.8%).
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 2nd-most touchdowns in football (1.75 per game) vs. the Panthers defense this year.

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