Dallas Goedert Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Dallas Goedert

TE · Philadelphia Eagles

Touchdowns

Tennessee Titans vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Dallas Goedert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+205/-225).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.89 seconds per snap.
Philadelphia's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially reduced (and rushing stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league. We ought to be able to expect some regression with better weather in this game.
With a sizeable 30.9% Red Zone Target% (98th percentile) since the start of last season, Dallas Goedert stands among the TEs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football.
When talking about air yards, Dallas Goedert ranks in the lofty 89th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 38.0 per game.
Dallas Goedert's 40.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in the league: 92nd percentile for tight ends.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a huge 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Eagles to pass on 49.9% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Right now, the most run-focused team in football near the goal line (52.2% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Philadelphia Eagles.
Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.7 per game) since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the feeble Titans run defense has given up a colossal 1.28 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing squads: the 4th-biggest rate in football.