Dallas Goedert Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Dallas Goedert

NFL · Player Props

Dallas Goedert

TE · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 3:47 PM EST

Analysis

Dallas Goedert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.89 seconds per snap.
Philadelphia's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially reduced (and rushing stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league. We ought to be able to expect some regression with better weather in this game.
Dallas Goedert has run a route on 84.3% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 96th percentile among TEs.
In this contest, Dallas Goedert is predicted by our trusted projection set to land in the 89th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.0 targets.
The Philadelphia O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a huge 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Eagles to pass on 49.9% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.7 per game) since the start of last season.
As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Tennessee's LB corps has been lousy last year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the league.

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