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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

New Orleans Saints vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Dallas Goedert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-170/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Eagles are projected by the projections to run 65.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-most among all teams this week.
  • The 3rd-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a massive 60.6 per game on average).
  • The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • With a top-tier 87.7% Route% (99th percentile) since the start of last season, Dallas Goedert rates as one of the TEs with the most usage in football.
  • The model projects Dallas Goedert to accumulate 5.9 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.
  • The model projects the Eagles to be the 8th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Since the start of last season, the formidable Saints defense has surrendered a feeble 69.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 5th-smallest rate in football.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, New Orleans's collection of safeties has been outstanding since the start of last season, grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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