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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

Dallas Goedert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Eagles offense to be the fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.48 seconds per snap.

Dallas Goedert has run a route on 87.3% of his offense's passing plays last year, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

In this game, Dallas Goedert is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 91st percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.0 targets.

The Eagles O-line profiles as the best in the league last year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

With an outstanding 4.6 adjusted catches per game (88th percentile) last year, Dallas Goedert places among the leading pass-game TEs in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Packers, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.8 per game) last year.

Last year, the stout Packers defense has yielded a paltry 70.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL.

When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Green Bay's unit has been phenomenal last year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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