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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

Dallas Goedert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-103/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 1.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Brian Johnson now calling the plays.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

With a high 87.8% Route% (100th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert stands among the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the league.

In this week's game, Dallas Goedert is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 93rd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.1 targets.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.64 seconds per snap.

Opposing QBs have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

Dallas Goedert's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 80.2% to 73.6%.

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Dallas's collection of LBs has been fantastic this year, profiling as the 8th-best in the league.

More Dallas Goedert Player Props

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