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Dallas Goedert
NFL · Player Props
Dallas Goedert
TE · Philadelphia Eagles
Receptions
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2023 Updated Sep 25, 2023 11:01 PM UTC
NFL Props Dallas Goedert Receptions

Dallas Goedert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

Favors Over
  • Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.1 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Dallas Goedert has run a route on 87.9% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 97th percentile among TEs.
  • Our trusted projections expect Dallas Goedert to accumulate 5.7 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile among tight ends.
Favors Under
  • The Philadelphia Eagles boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 1.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Dallas Goedert's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 80.2% to 74.7%.
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