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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Philadelphia Eagles vs Minnesota Vikings

Dallas Goedert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+140/-170).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.

THE BLITZ projects Dallas Goedert to earn 5.1 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among tight ends.

Dallas Goedert has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 19.3% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 94th percentile among tight ends.

The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.3%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (64.3%).

The Minnesota Vikings safeties rank as the 6th-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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