Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Dallas Goedert

NFL · Player Props

Dallas Goedert

TE · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 22, 2026 7:47 AM EST

Analysis

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+101/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +229 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 129.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing more favorable weather this week.
With an extraordinary 79.8% Route Participation% (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Dallas Goedert stands among the tight ends with the most usage in the league.
The projections expect Dallas Goedert to earn 6.2 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among tight ends.
Dallas Goedert has compiled a staggering 36.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 87th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a running game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Chicago's group of safeties has been phenomenal since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-best in the league.

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