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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-112/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

This week, Dallas Goedert is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 80th percentile among TEs with 6.8 targets.

Dallas Goedert has accrued a colossal 36.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Dallas Goedert's 50.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 38.4.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 51.0% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Eagles are anticipated by the model to call only 67.4 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chiefs defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.

The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Dallas Goedert's 35.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season shows a significant regression in his receiving talent over last season's 42.0 rate.

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