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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dallas Goedert to earn 5.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among TEs.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a huge 13.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
  • Dallas Goedert has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (22.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).
  • Dallas Goedert's 37.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 43.8.

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