Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Dallas Goedert

NFL · Player Props

Dallas Goedert

TE · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM EST

Analysis

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 47.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Dallas Goedert to earn 4.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among TEs.
Dallas Goedert has been a big part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 19.3% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 94th percentile among TEs.
Dallas Goedert has notched a monstrous 42.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 90th percentile among tight ends.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 47.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.41 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-least in the NFL.

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