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Dak Prescott Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+780/-840).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -840.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.2% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest rate among all teams this week.The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a staggering 63.5 per game on average).Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume.Dak Prescott's throwing precision has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 65.0% to 73.1%.The New York Jets defense has been gouged for the 8th-most touchdowns through the air in the NFL: 1.75 per game this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to run the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Jets, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 28.2 per game) this year.As it relates to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Cowboys grades out as the worst in the NFL this year.Dak Prescott has run for 0.25 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest figures in the league when it comes to QBs (82nd percentile).This year, the porous New York Jets run defense has allowed a massive 1.00 TDs on the ground per game to the opposing side: the 9th-worst rate in the NFL.
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