Dak Prescott TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

TD Passes

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Dak Prescott TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.0% of their chances: the 4th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
At the moment, the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the end zone (59.3% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Cowboys.
The projections expect the Cowboys to call the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Dak Prescott to throw 38.6 passes this week, on average: the 3rd-most out of all quarterbacks.
With a stellar ratio of 1.80 per game (76th percentile), Dak Prescott has been as one of the top TD passers in the league this year.

Favors Under

This year, the imposing Packers defense has yielded a measly 1.20 passing touchdowns per game to opposing teams: the 9th-smallest rate in the NFL.
The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the best unit in football this year in covering receivers.