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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott TD Passes
Player Prop Week 6

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions

Dak Prescott TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 62.5% of their downs: the 2nd-highest clip among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the most pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.0% red zone pass rate.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 66.4 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.

The Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 60.4 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Cowboys O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.

This year, the daunting Detroit Lions defense has allowed a mere 67.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 7th-lowest rate in football.

This year, the daunting Lions defense has yielded a mere 1.00 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 10th-lowest rate in football.

The Lions safeties rank as the 4th-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

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