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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs New Orleans Saints

Dak Prescott TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Cowboys to be the 9th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 60.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.8% red zone pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to see 134.3 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.

The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a colossal 60.2 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a 6-point favorite this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest level in the league vs. the New Orleans Saints defense since the start of last season (62.8% Adjusted Completion%).

Since the start of last season, the strong Saints defense has yielded a measly 1.22 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing teams: the 10th-best rate in football.

The Saints safeties profile as the 10th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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