Dak Prescott TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-180/+150).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The predictive model expects the Cowboys as the 8th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Dallas Cowboys to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average).
In this game, Dak Prescott is predicted by our trusted projection set to have the 4th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 37.5.
Dak Prescott's throwing accuracy has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 65.4% to 68.7%.
Favors Under
As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Buffalo's CB corps has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.