Dak Prescott TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

TD Passes

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Dak Prescott TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-180/+135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 136.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Dak Prescott has been among the best TD throwers in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 1.86 per game while ranking in the 89th percentile.
The Houston Texans safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line has afforded their quarterback 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a big 17.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to attempt 33.5 passes in this game, on average: the 8th-least of all QBs.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: least in football.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 5th-lowest clip in the NFL versus the Houston Texans defense this year (66.0%).

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