Dak Prescott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 8, 2026 4:27 PM EST

Analysis

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+140/-168).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
The projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 127.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Cowboys this year (a mere 51.5 per game on average).
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may decline.
This year, the strong Colts run defense has given up a meager 4.85 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing teams: the 27th-best rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

At the present time, the 5th-least run-centric offense in football (36.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Cowboys.
Dak Prescott's ground effectiveness has diminished this season, compiling a mere 3.40 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 6.29 figure last season.

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