Dak Prescott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 8, 2024

Updated Oct 28, 2024 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Cowboys to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 60.3 plays per game.
The 49ers safeties profile as the 31st-worst safety corps in the league this year with their run defense.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
The model projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 3rd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 36.8% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
In this game, Dak Prescott is projected by the predictive model to notch the 9th-fewest rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 2.4.
After making up 11.7% of his team's run game usage last season, Dak Prescott has had a smaller role in the ground game this season, now sitting at just 6.6%.
Dak Prescott's 4.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season shows a noteable drop-off in his running talent over last season's 14.0 figure.

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