Dak Prescott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are an enormous 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.43 seconds per play.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has produced the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, conceding 4.87 yards-per-carry.
The Arizona Cardinals defensive ends project as the 7th-worst group of DEs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Dak Prescott's running effectiveness (4.23 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football since the start of last season (21st percentile among QBs).

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