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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 20

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys rank as the 9th-most run-oriented team in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 43.5% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 137.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to be a much bigger part of his team's run game this week (14.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (6.5% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to accumulate 4.2 carries in this game, on average: the 3rd-least of all quarterbacks.
  • Dak Prescott's ground efficiency (4.25 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (23rd percentile among QBs).
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the least yards in the league (just 78 per game) vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year.
  • The San Francisco 49ers safeties rank as the best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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