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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Dallas Cowboys

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys are a massive 17.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 10th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 45.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 139.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to be much more involved in his team's running game this week (12.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (5.7% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive tackles rank as the 9th-best DT corps in the league this year in regard to run defense.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box vs. opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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