Dak Prescott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys rank as the 7th-most run-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 42.8% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 140.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Dak Prescott isn't afraid to run the ball, accounting for 8.0% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s carries this year, placing him in the 76th percentile among QBs.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Dak Prescott has been among the bottom QBs in the league at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a measly 0.79 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 24th percentile.
The Minnesota Vikings defense owns the 9th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, giving up just 4.42 yards-per-carry.
The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles profile as the best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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