Dak Prescott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:11 PM EST

Analysis

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are a huge 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The Cowboys have been the 6th-most run-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 43.9% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Dak Prescott isn't afraid to take off running, accounting for 5.8% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s rush attempts this year, putting him in the 79th percentile among quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 6th-most yards in the league (143 per game) against the Green Bay Packers defense this year.

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game.
Dak Prescott's running effectiveness (4.18 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football since the start of last season (15th percentile among quarterbacks).
Dak Prescott has been among the weakest QBs in football at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a mere 0.60 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 22nd percentile.

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