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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys are a huge 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The Cowboys have been the 6th-most run-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 43.9% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Dak Prescott isn't afraid to take off running, accounting for 5.8% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s rush attempts this year, putting him in the 79th percentile among quarterbacks.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 6th-most yards in the league (143 per game) against the Green Bay Packers defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game.
  • Dak Prescott's running effectiveness (4.18 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football since the start of last season (15th percentile among quarterbacks).
  • Dak Prescott has been among the weakest QBs in football at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a mere 0.60 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 22nd percentile.

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