Dak Prescott Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing TD

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 8:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+426/-954).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +436 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +426.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are a huge 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The Cowboys have been the 10th-most run-oriented team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 50.2% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Dak Prescott isn't afraid to take off running near the end zone, accounting for 15.4% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s red zone carries this year (75th percentile among quarterbacks).
The Green Bay Packers safeties project as the 25th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game.

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