Dak Prescott Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Passing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 249.5 (+108/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 242.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 249.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Cowboys offensive gameplan to tilt 3.5% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-highest number on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Dak Prescott's 69.4% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a substantial boost in his passing accuracy over last year's 65.4% rate.
The Los Angeles Rams linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 6th-fewest yards in the league (just 211.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year.
This year, the formidable Rams defense has conceded a meager 63.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-best rate in the league.

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