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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Dak Prescott Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 214.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 225.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 214.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are an enormous 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 11th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to attempt 32.6 passes in this week's game, on average: the 8th-least of all quarterbacks.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 4th-least yards in the NFL (just 198.0 per game) versus the New York Jets defense since the start of last season.

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