Dak Prescott Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Interceptions

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 3.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.53 seconds per play.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 44.5 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: most in the NFL.

Favors Under

Dak Prescott has thrown a measly 0.26 interceptions per game this year, checking in at the 81st percentile among quarterbacks.
San Francisco's defense profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year as it relates to forcing interceptions, notching 1.06 per game.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco's collection of LBs has been excellent this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

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