Dak Prescott Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Interceptions

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 5:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+100/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Detroit Lions have intercepted 0.46 balls per game this year, grading out as the 9th-worst defense in the NFL by this statistic
The Detroit Lions cornerbacks profile as the worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line has given their QB 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a huge 7-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
The Cowboys rank as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 55.5% pass rate.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Dallas Cowboys have incorporated play action on a mere 23.6% of their passing plays since the start of last season (9th-least in the league), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

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