Dak Prescott Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Interceptions

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

Dak Prescott Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 141.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to attempt 38.0 passes in this game, on average: the 8th-most of all quarterbacks.
Dak Prescott has totaled 1.41 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 3rd percentile among quarterbacks.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line has allowed their QB 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 4-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Cowboys rank as the 6th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 55.8% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.4 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
The Philadelphia Eagles have intercepted 0.89 targets per game this year, ranking as the 5th-best defense in the NFL by this metric.
The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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