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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Cleveland Browns vs Dallas Cowboys

Dak Prescott Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to have 134.7 total plays run: the most among all games this week.

The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Cowboys last year (a staggering 60.4 per game on average).

The Cowboys have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

The Cleveland Browns linebackers rank as the 9th-worst group of LBs in the NFL last year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to be the 8th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 39.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

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