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Curtis Samuel

Curtis Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers

Curtis Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+125/-155).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Commanders will be rolling with backup QB Taylor Heinicke in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Commanders are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

The Washington Commanders have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 61.8 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Curtis Samuel to earn 7.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among WRs.

Curtis Samuel has been a more important option in his offense's passing offense this season (22.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (4.8%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 27.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the NFL.

The Washington Commanders have faced a stacked the box on just 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Green Bay Packers have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 8.8% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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