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Curtis Samuel

Curtis Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Curtis Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-108/-118).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Washington Commanders have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 67.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Curtis Samuel to accrue 7.7 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among WRs.
  • Curtis Samuel has been much more involved in his team's pass game this year (22.4% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (4.8%).
  • Curtis Samuel has been among the top wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a stellar 6.4 receptions per game while checking in at the 94th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box versus opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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