Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Curtis Samuel

NFL · Player Props

Curtis Samuel

WR · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 13, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Favors Under

The Bills are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see only 122.1 total plays called: the lowest number on the slate this week.
The Buffalo Bills have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.8 plays per game.
Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically mean worse passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and higher rush volume.

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