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Curtis Samuel
NFL · Player Props
Curtis Samuel
WR · Washington Commanders
Receiving Yards
Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 8, 2023 Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:31 PM EST
NFL Props Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards

Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 42.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • The Commanders feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 13.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 66.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
Favors Under
  • Curtis Samuel's 68.0% Route Participation% this year illustrates a remarkable drop-off in his passing attack usage over last year's 81.5% figure.
  • This year, the imposing Eagles defense has surrendered the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a puny 6.8 yards.
  • This year, the daunting Eagles pass defense has given up the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wideouts: a puny 2.9 YAC.
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