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Craig Reynolds Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.0 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Lions are a giant 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Panthers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.2 per game) this year.Craig Reynolds has been on the field for 14.7% of his team's snaps this year, placing him in the 23rd percentile when it comes to RBs.This year, the strong Carolina Panthers defense has conceded a mere 25.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing running backs: the 10th-fewest in the league.
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