Courtland Sutton Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Courtland Sutton

WR · Denver Broncos

Touchdowns

Denver Broncos vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 15, 2026 8:12 PM EST

Analysis

Courtland Sutton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+285/-300).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football in the red zone (60.5% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Denver Broncos.
In terms of a defense's effect on tempo, at 28.04 seconds per play, the model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-quickest in football (adjusted for context) at the moment.
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
With a top-tier 24.0% Red Zone Target% (89th percentile) this year, Courtland Sutton ranks among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the league.
This year, the stout Seahawks run defense has allowed a feeble 0.40 rushing TDs per game to the opposing side: the 2nd-lowest rate in the league.

Favors Under

Courtland Sutton has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (58.0 per game) than he did last year (98.0 per game).
Courtland Sutton's 48.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 58.2.
When talking about pass protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Denver Broncos grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.
Courtland Sutton's 47.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a material diminishment in his receiving prowess over last year's 61.6% figure.
This year, the tough Seahawks defense has surrendered a puny 59.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 7th-lowest rate in football.