Courtland Sutton Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Courtland Sutton

WR · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 15, 2026 8:22 PM EST

Analysis

Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+146/-164).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -172 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -164.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of a defense's effect on tempo, at 28.04 seconds per play, the model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-quickest in football (adjusted for context) at the moment.
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may suffer.

Favors Under

The Broncos have been the 6th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.9% pass rate.
Courtland Sutton's 48.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 58.2.
When talking about pass protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Denver Broncos grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.
Courtland Sutton's 2.3 adjusted receptions per game this year illustrates a significant decrease in his receiving talent over last year's 3.7 rate.
Courtland Sutton's 47.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a material diminishment in his receiving prowess over last year's 61.6% figure.